# ------------------------------------------------ # CITATION.cff file created with {cffr} R package # See also: https://docs.ropensci.org/cffr/ # ------------------------------------------------ cff-version: 1.2.0 message: 'To cite package "winning" in publications use:' type: software license: MIT title: 'winning: Contest Win Probabilities and Ability Calibration' version: 0.3.0 doi: 10.32614/CRAN.package.winning abstract: 'Solves the horse race problem in both directions. Infers relative ability from win probabilities (or betting dividends) for contests whose entrants share a common performance distribution, with dead heats handled exactly, by the lattice fixed-point algorithm of Cotton (2021) . Also computes all N win probabilities of a factor-structured Gaussian race (multinomial probit with low-rank-plus-diagonal covariance) in one shared-lattice pass of O(Q*N*L) operations, and inverts observed shares to abilities by a damped Newton method with analytic slopes. A dependency-free base-R port of the reference python package ''winning''. Performances are times: lowest wins.' authors: - family-names: Cotton given-names: Peter email: peter.cotton@microprediction.com repository: https://microprediction.r-universe.dev repository-code: https://github.com/microprediction/winning commit: acfb360e262195ee80f8785d75e8cc6f90cd393e url: https://github.com/microprediction/winning date-released: '2026-09-09' contact: - family-names: Cotton given-names: Peter email: peter.cotton@microprediction.com